Air Deccan may be acquired by the Reliance-Anil Dhirubhai Ambani group. There is no confirmation of the acquisition news, but it is a fact that Reliance Mutual Fund owned by the Anil Ambani faction of Reliance has been steadily increasing its stake in the Bangalore-based low-cost airline.

Air Deccan, the largest low-cost airline in India with a substantial market share, has been making huge losses and is finding it difficult to keep itself afloat. Air Deccan, owned by Deccan Aviation, wants to raise $100 million to keep flying, for which it is believed to be tapping several investors. It is believed that Anil Ambani's cash-rich Reliance group is willing to pick up a 26% stake in Air Deccan for $100 million. Though there have been several newspaper reports to this effect, there has been no confirmation to this.

Air Deccan has appointed Edelweiss Capital to find investors. Reportedly, Anil Ambani's Reliance, Texas Pacific Group and others have out in bids for the low-cost airline. The Irish airline Ryanair is also believed to be interested in picking a stake in Air Deccan, and has reportedly bid for the low-cost airline through its investment arm Irelandia Investments. Private equity firm Texas Pacific also has interest in the airline business.

In anticipation of a Reliance acquisition of Air Deccan, the Deccan Aviation stock price has been moving up quickly in the last few trading session on the Bombay Stock Exchange. On Thursday, the Air Deccan share price rose 22% on rumors that Reliance and Air Deccan are close to announcing a deal.

Meanwhile, there has also been talk that Vijay Mallya's Kingfisher Airlines may be willing to buy a stake in Air Deccan. Though the acquisition move has been hotly denied by Air Deccan's Captain GR Gopinath, Vijay Mallya has gone on record stating that he is interested in Air Deccan.

There are advantages and disadvantages to any party coming in to bail out Air Deccan. For Kingfisher, this offers synergies since the group is already a performer on its own in the domestic aviation sector though in a different category. An acquisition of Air Deccan by Kingfisher will pitchfork Kingfisher to the No.1 domestic airline position currently owned by Jet Airways. The numero uno slot will give it the freedom to dictate fares and entrench itself in a cutthroat airline market.

However, Kingfisher Airlines is not as cash-rich as it would like to be. Kingfisher Airlines is itself struggling to keep flying without losing margins. The airline wont be comfortable burdening its books with another loss-making airline, even though the Air Deccan acquisition will bring volumes.

For the Anil Ambani group of Reliance, cash is not a problem. Besides diversifying into new sectors, the Air Deccan buyout will give it instant leadership in the low-cost airline business, with the promise of good returns in future. Airline industry being a high cash-burn sector, only the tough stay till the end, and Reliance definitely has the wherewithal to breathe fresh life into the ailing airline. However, the Reliance group has no domain knowledge in managing the airline business, and retaining and finding talent to run the airline will be a key challenge.

Air Deccan operates a fleet of 18 Airbus A - 320 aircraft, with an average age of 1.5 years and 23 ATR Turboprop aircraft. Air Deccan has carried over 8.7 million passengers since inception and the numbers are growing by the day.

Recently, the Tata group picked up 10% stake in the low-cost airline SpiceJet. The Tatas described the SpiceJet stake acquisition as a financial investment and not a strategic one. However, ever since, there has been speculation that the Tata group may use Spicejet for its eventual entry into the airline business. During the early phase of economic liberalisation, the Tata group was keen to enter the airline business, but its plans to form a domestic airline with Singapore Airlines as a partner never took off.

Air Deccan, India's first low-cost airline was started three and half years by GR Gopinath, Army ex-captain turned eco-farmer. The 51-year entrepreneur has run the airline since, making a small regional airline flying turboprops into an airline with the largest domestic network, affordable fares and 22% market share.

The phenomenal growth came at a huge price, as Gopinath rapidly scaled up Air Deccan's operations at the cost of profits. Now, the airline appeals to a large passenger base which has converted from railway journeys and taken to air. However, the challenge is to keep flying, and flying with profits.
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